We have a showdown against two AFC South teams in week seven NFL action. The basement dwelling Indianapolis Colts will hit the road this week, and they will be traveling to take on the second place Tennessee Titans. The Colts have had an up and down season, with their latest down coming a week ago on the road against the Houston Texans. On the other side of the spectrum, the Titans are moving in the right direction, winning their second straight a week ago, with a win at home against the Cleveland Browns.

For the Colts, they have had no luck on the road this season. Their two wins have come at home, and three of their four losses have come away from the state of Indiana. The team lives through Andrew Luck and their offense, which is fairly beat up at the wide receiver position. The defense in simply a non-factor, having allowed over 20 points every game this season. So if the clubs wants to win, they will need Luck to have a strong game to offset that. And that has happened already this season, but the win is not a given to come along with it.

The Titans on the other hand, have been living the good life for two weeks. Granted, their two victories have come against the likes of the Miami Dolphins and Cleveland Browns. Like the Colts, their defense is not really anything to write home about. DeMarco Murray is the star of their offense, but he was slowed down a bit last week. He was limited to 65 rushing yards a week ago, but did manage to punch one in for a score. There is just something about the fact that they only won by two points at home against the Browns.

So while conventional wisdom would say take the Titans, who only need to win by a field goal, I have that gut feel they are do for a crap game. The Colts will break their road losing streak, and come out on top in this one thanks to a nice game from Andrew Luck. This is mainly a play against Tennessee since it is time for them to put up a bad game. And my gut tells me this one is going to be the Colts.

For all week seven NFL Spreads and Over/Under’s, check out our NFL week 7 Betting Odds master-sheet here.

Line: Titans -2.5, O/U: 48.5

Pick: Colts and the over

Result: Ind 34 – Ten 26, Colts and the over