The third place team in the NFC South will hit the road this week to take on the third place team in the AFC West. To be more specific, the New Orleans Saints will be on the road to challenge the Kansas City Chiefs. The Saints are trending in the right direction, winning their last two with a bye in between. Last weeks win came in a shootout at home against the Carolina Panthers. Meanwhile, the Chiefs went on the road last week and won in Oakland following their bye.
Almost every game the Saints play in turns into a shootout. In the five games the club has played this season, they have scored over 30 points in four of them. Unfortunately for them, their defense has also given up over 30 points in four of the five. The one game that saw the club in a low scoring affair came in week two, when they lost to the Giants 16-13, in a game that was expected to be a shootout. But that game came on the road, and the Saints typically do not perform as well away from the Superdome. Sure they went into San Diego and beat the Chargers, but it was right at the end of the game, and the Chargers simply are not very good. So I am not falling for the high scoring over/under like I did in week two.
The Chiefs have one of the best home crowds in the NFL. So while the Saints typically struggle on the road, the Chiefs tend to perform very well at home. In their two games they have played at home this season, they have won both games. With both clubs coming off big divisional wins, I cannot look to forecast a letdown game for the Chiefs. I am expecting all Chiefs in this one, with their defense having a good day against a shaky Drew Brees. Sure it is not a given, but given the Arrowhead factor, plus the Saints on the road following a big win against Carolina, I think this one should fall in the favor of the red and white.
For all week seven NFL Spreads and Over/Under’s, check out our NFL week 7 Betting Odds master-sheet here.
Line: Chiefs -6.5, O/U: 50.5
Pick: Chiefs and the under
Result: KC 27 – NO 21, Saints and the under