We take a trip to Arrowhead this week for NFL week 11 action. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will fly West, where they AFC West-leading Kansas City Chiefs. The Bucs are coming off a 36-10 blowout victory over the Chicago Bears. The Chiefs, on the other hand, continued their winning streak with a 20-17 victory over the Carolina Panthers.

The Bucs have been playing at home for quite a while now, as they have played the last three weeks in Raymond James Stadium down in Tampa. This week they return to the road where they actually have had success this season. The team is 3-1 away from home up until this point, with wins over the likes of the Falcons, the Panthers, and the 49ers. Their 4-5 record has them sitting in second place in the NFC South, but they have been a bit unpredictable to this point. They generally win on the road and lose at home. They have suffered their fair share of injuries, and do not have a dominant defense. But one thing they can do it put up some points, with a handful of offensive weapons, despite losing names like Vincent Jackson and Charles Sims.

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The Chiefs have rolled to the top of their division with five straight wins since their bye week. I keep waiting for them to slow down a bit, and last week they did need a comeback to take down the Carolina Panthers. Now they return home, where they have yet to lose a game in four contests thus far. Arrowhead is considered the stadium best suited for home field advantage, and the Chiefs seem poised to pull in another win this week. But I simply cannot ignore the gut feeling I have that the team is not going to run away with this one like many expect. So while I think the Chiefs win this one, I think it turns out to be closer than most people would predict.

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Line: KC -7.5, O/U: 44.5

Pick: Bucs and the under

Result: TB 19 – KC 17, Buccaneers and the under

To see the spreads and over/under for each week 11 match-up, make sure you head over to our master sheet right here